Saturday, October 15, 2005

****Breaking News****

AU DECIDES SUDAN IS TOO FUCKED UP EVEN FOR THEM

Looks like the situation will be referred to the UN security council. That will surely fix the situation.

What frustrates me most of this situation is how willing we were to go into Iraq and how willing we are to passively watch Darfur implode. As a nation and as a world we admitted our mistakes in failing to intervene in Rwanda (except the French, who did intervene, on the side of the Hutus). Clinton said it was one of the biggest mistakes of his presidency (fortunately this administration doesn't make mistakes). And now, a mere ten years later, we continue to prop up a nasty regime in Khartoum by giving money, money which is supposedly linked to peace in Darfur, but has already been given depsite the ongoing massacre. There are a host of reasons for our willingness as a world to watch this, but for the interested person who has made it this far in the post, the chief reason why we pay lip service to the west of Sudan (in my humble opinion) has to do with our willingness to stay in good graces with a government sitting on load of undeveloped oil fields (in the recently at peace south).

One day, the east of Sudan will realize it is sitting on the chief means of getting that oil out. Once that occurs (and signs are that is already happening) a four way civil war with each of the cardinal directions in play will likely ensue...the oracle of Montana predicts the Ethiopians, the Ugandans and the Chadians will all make a grab (and possibly the CAR if they get their shit together) by trying to align themselves with the southerners. The Americans (Republican or Democrat administration won't matter) will stubbornly side with the Khartoum government, the UN will certainly do the same (because the UN sides with governments in power - see Western Sahara or Taiwan for examples of this) and ten years from now the Sudan will look like the Congo. The added bonus here is Islam and holy wars (think proximity to Yemen, Saudi and Somalia), not to mention the ultimate wild card, Libya.


Yep, now is a good time for a meeting...

Interested in further reading? Here are the daily updates of wars around the globe.

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